Yemen's Future: Competing Powers and Regional Threats

emeni political analyst Yasin Al-Tamimi has raised critical questions about Yemen's future amid growing public optimism over the potential end of the war.

In an article published on "Arabi21," titled "Yemen Faces the Risk of Multi-Party Military Dominance," Al-Tamimi warned that regional and international challenges might delay progress, citing conflicting agendas and the influence of external actors.

Al-Tamimi noted that Yemenis view the developments in Syria as a potential model for resolving crises. However, Yemen's situation remains more complex due to the continued influence of the Houthis and the lack of military readiness of the legitimate government, which is also strained by divisions stemming from Saudi-Emirati conflicts.

He pointed out that Saudi Arabia no longer faces significant pressure to reach an agreement with the Houthis, given the involvement of the United States and European countries in the "ASPİDES" mission to counter Houthi attacks.

Al-Tamimi also highlighted Saudi Arabia’s "pragmatic" options in addressing the crisis, including discussions around a potential military operation to activate the western coast and Hodeidah fronts.

Meanwhile, he argued that the UAE is exploiting the current situation to bolster its military presence. He referenced the construction of a military airport on Abdul Kuri Island in Socotra, reflecting Abu Dhabi's ambitions to control strategic maritime routes in coordination with the United States and Israel.

In conclusion, Al-Tamimi questioned whether Saudi Arabia’s recent service projects in Socotra would be sufficient to curb UAE influence. He emphasized the dangers of the ongoing absence of unified Yemeni leadership capable of reclaiming authority, leaving the country vulnerable to regional and international ambitions.