The End of the Houthis? National Interest Report Discusses Possible Scenarios for Their Fall
International attention has turned towards the Houthis in Yemen following recent events in the region. The American magazine National Interest published a report discussing the potential scenarios for the fall of this group.
The report highlighted that a radical change in Yemen requires three key factors.
The Houthis are considered the most significant Iranian proxy force remaining in the region, and they have increased their operations against Israel and their threats to international shipping in the Red Sea.
As tensions rise, the report questioned whether the Houthis would face the same fate as the fallen Assad regime.
The report pointed out that, like the Assad regime, the Houthis represent a narrow segment of the population, contributing to widespread poverty and corruption.
It confirmed that rampant corruption obstructs any institutional reforms, with current structures facilitating the plunder of Yemen's resources.
The report also discussed the similarities between the Houthis and the Assad regime, such as corruption and brutality, but noted that the Houthi leadership is younger and more active, still in the early stages of rebellion.
It also considered the possibility of the Houthis resorting to guerrilla warfare tactics instead of seeking refuge outside Yemen.
However, the Houthis’ future remains uncertain, facing a growing legitimacy crisis.
The report confirmed that increased regional and international pressure could contribute to hastening their downfall, urging the international community to support the victims of the Houthis and the efforts against them.
The report identified three main developments that could lead to the fall of the Houthis: increased public anger due to economic conditions, loss of support from elites, and internal conflicts within the Houthi leadership.
These combined factors could result in the Houthis losing control of Yemen.
At the conclusion of the report, it was stated that the Houthis will not last long, and military and political pressure will be crucial in ensuring they do not regain power.
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